Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000944 1.076656e-03 0.001211 0.001356 0.001509 0.001664 0.001832
2025-07-20 0.000668 8.666919e-04 0.001077 0.001314 0.001571 0.001839 0.002138
2025-07-27 0.000512 7.599301e-04 0.001036 0.001358 0.001717 0.002099 0.002532
2025-08-03 0.000374 6.527173e-04 0.000980 0.001374 0.001824 0.002312 0.002874
2025-08-10 0.000222 4.997389e-04 0.000852 0.001295 0.001815 0.002390 0.003061
2025-08-17 0.000127 3.976025e-04 0.000770 0.001259 0.001847 0.002507 0.003287
2025-08-24 0.000055 3.008370e-04 0.000682 0.001204 0.001850 0.002586 0.003464
2025-08-31 0.000019 2.420560e-04 0.000634 0.001195 0.001901 0.002716 0.003697
2025-09-07 0.000004 2.096928e-04 0.000620 0.001224 0.001996 0.002894 0.003981
2025-09-14 NaN 1.633060e-04 0.000576 0.001210 0.002035 0.003005 0.004185
2025-09-21 NaN 1.352208e-04 0.000556 0.001225 0.002108 0.003153 0.004431
2025-09-28 NaN 1.185142e-04 0.000553 0.001262 0.002206 0.003330 0.004709
2025-10-05 NaN 7.929582e-05 0.000505 0.001241 0.002242 0.003446 0.004931
2025-10-12 NaN 4.343758e-05 0.000449 0.001207 0.002262 0.003545 0.005138
2025-10-19 NaN 3.234151e-05 0.000448 0.001254 0.002386 0.003771 0.005496
2025-10-26 NaN 1.813361e-05 0.000429 0.001271 0.002473 0.003951 0.005800
2025-11-02 NaN 6.165811e-07 0.000355 0.001195 0.002433 0.003975 0.005919
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000310 0.001162 0.002446 0.004062 0.006111
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000258 0.001109 0.002430 0.004112 0.006256
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000233 0.001101 0.002473 0.004233 0.006486
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000228 0.001129 0.002567 0.004418 0.006790
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000203 0.001115 0.002600 0.004525 0.007001
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000193 0.001130 0.002674 0.004682 0.007271